Using Subscription Trading Services
In my experiences trading for a living, as editor of stock and
option subscription services, and in classes where I teach budding
traders, I have seen many approaches to trading and to the uses of
subscription services. I think it may be worthwhile to discuss some of
the benefits and pitfalls of using those services.
Invariably in the trading classes I teach, I am asked how I find the
stocks I trade. My standard answer is that there are many ways to find
what to trade. Pure fundamental analysis is one
way to select a stock; using the list of 100 from Investors Business
Daily is another; utilizing scans available on charting services like
Worden Brothers TCNet or various brokerage sites is another and of course
subscribing to services like the Trend Trader or the Option Trader is yet another. Each of these methods can be quite valuable and
may be a wonderful starting point for the trader or investor with any level of experience.
In the
case of the Investors Business
Daily list, the trader has a starting point from which to
narrow the search. So, too, the scans can incorporate criteria that the
trader desires such as P/E, moving average crossovers, MACD,
stochastics, DMI, and inumerable other indicators that suits the
particular investor's fancy. What these things may or may not do is
tell the investor or trader when to enter and when to exit a trade.
The
subscription service has the advantage of letting the subscriber know
both what the editor likes and when the editor is entering or would like
to enter. What a great starting point that can be! The editor has
already done a lot of the work. He has found a stock he likes and he
has found an entry that is good in his mind. That doesn't mean that the
subscriber should take it as a personal recommendation. It is a jumping
off point for the subscriber. It is critical to remember that the
subscriber is the one taking the risk if he enters a position so the
trade must be one that fits the subscriber's own criteria.
One should be selective in choosing a subscription alert service. Is
the service designed for the way you like to trade? If you like day
trading, is the service designed for the day trader? Does the
subscriber want trades every day? What is the editor's philosophy?
Does the service limit itself to trading only large cap stocks or are
all stocks fair game? What do you want to trade? Does the service only
provide information on option trades? If so, do you have an
understanding of the strategies that are going to be employed or are you
willing to learn? Is that what you want? The Option Trader, for
example, is a service that sets out option trades I enter. Some may be
relatively simple like buying a call or a put and some might be more
complex like diagonalized calendar spreads or iron condors. The Trend
Trader, on the other hand, simply buys stock with the hope that it will
go up. The Trend Trader strategy is quite simple. I try to buy low and
sell high. Of course, the risk of buying a stock at $50 or $60 may be
much different than placing an option spread trade. Which one is more
to your liking?
Subscription services don't recommend that you enter a position.
That is extremely important to remember. The editor tells you what he
is doing or what he thinks is a good entry or exit. Should you follow
that blindly and take it as a recommendation to you? Of course not.
You may not have the same amount of capital, your risk tolerance is
probably much different, your knowledge of strategies may not be the
same, your money management rules could be different from the editor of
the service. What you do know is that someone with experience trading
likes a particular trade. Now, taking that, doesn't it make sense to
evaluate the risk in that trade? Does it fit your own risk tolerance.
Can you enter the position without violating your personal money
management rules? Do you see the rationale the editor used when he
entered the trade? Where is his exit if the trade goes against him?
Would your exit be the same? How fast can you move to exit a trade if
things happen quickly? Does your broker allow the same kind of orders
as the editor is indicating he is using. For example, if the editor is
in an option trade and says his initial exit is contingent on the
price of the stock going below "x" you need to know whether your broker
provides for contingent orders.
Trading, for many, is an unfortunate exercise in greed and fear. I
once had a new subscriber write complaining that I hadn't done a trade
in two days! What did that tell me about the subscriber? First it told
me that the person was impatient and impatience is an enemy of good
trading. I have learned to try to take what the market will give me. I
think it is a serious mistake to force trades. Suppose I get an email
with the complaint that I haven't made a trade in two days. Should I
force a trade so that it looks like I am doing something or should I
wait until I find a trade where I think I stand a good chance to
profit? The answer seems obvious. I am trying to make profitable trades
and sometimes it takes a little time to find one. Our impatient friend
should realize that I am not working in his time frame and perhaps
should seek another who is. I am not a day trader and do not have a day
trader mentality. In my case, the prudent subscriber should read what I
have written when I sent out past alerts, read my articles in the
Newsletters and see where I am coming from. I am concerned about risk
and about cutting losses if a position moves against me. I am concerned
about money management and trying to profit over the long haul. Though
I am happy when I get them, I am not expecting huge profits from every
position. I don't expect to be "in the game" every minute. Like I
said, I try to take what the market will give me. I know I can't make
the markets do anything.
Unfortunately, many who attend my basic seminars and many who
subscribe to services are trying to "get rich quick" and that isn't the
way it usually works. Getting rich steady would be fine, wouldn't it?
In our classes, we try to help people learn how to trade in a fashion
that removes greed from their trading decisions. We try to get them to
construct a method of trading that helps them cut losses and let profits
run in a disciplined unemotional manner. If we really think about it,
does it make sense to blindly follow what someone else is doing without
regard to risk, without regard to money management, without regard to
potential reward, without a strategy of what to do if the move goes
against you.
No matter where you get the idea, always remember the trade is
yours. The risk is yours. The ability to enjoy the profits is yours.
It's your money that is at risk so doesn't it make sense to be aware of
what you are doing. Subscription services are great. They provide a
marvelous way to see potential trades and learn what a trader is doing.
You can learn vast amounts from subscription services and you may often
come upon terrific trades that fit your style, degree of risk aversion
and time frame. Services can provide significant insight and can do
away with a lot of time spent searching for trades. Just remember, what
they are unlikely to do -- that is make you rich with no effort at all
on your part.
If you haven't read it, I earnestly suggest you read Rich Dad, Poor
Dad by Robert T. Kiyosaki. It'll show you the importance of using your
assets to increase your net worth rather than simply relying on a job.
More importantly, if you aren't already convinced, it may help you to
understand how valuable it is to learn about investing. In my view,
services like the Trend Trader, Option Trader as well as the other services
offered on our website are extraordinarily valuable tools for any trader or
investor provided they are used as intended. The intent is to provide
the subscriber with ideas from editors who are experienced and/or
professional traders. Once the idea is received, the subscriber must
then make his or her own analysis because, in the end, it will be their
decision, their risk or their reward.
Please consider taking a 30-day trial to one of my services.
Trend Trader
Option Trader
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
SUCCESS TRADING GROUP -- by the Success Trading Group Team
Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with email and/or pager alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.
Details Here.
OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage pricinciples. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on minimizing our losses. We always know our downside potential in a trade.
Details Here.
TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.
StockCharts.com
