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Weekend Newsletter for April 14, 2007                Please forward to a friend! (Subscribe)

Note: Tax Filing Deadline is Tuesday, April 17 (click for details)

The Week At A Glance According To The Charts
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Controlling Your Money

      

  • Controlling Your Money -- by Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2007, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    Last weekend I wrote about some of the difficulties encountered when a trader begins the transition from paper trading to trading with real money. This article looks at the specific subject of money which may be the root of all evil, but is certainly the element that introduces the dangers of emotion when we leave the relative safety of paper trading and put our cash at risk.

    The first and most important rule of trading real money is to use only "risk money." Risk money is money that you can afford to lose. It would not make you happy if you did lose it, but your life would go on without any change. In other words, risk money is money that is not needed for any necessity. As we transition from paper trading to real money trading, we must not use the rent money, mortgage money, grocery money, car payment money, insurance premium money, or tuition money. If that is all we have, it is not yet time to trade real money. Using money to trade that is needed for some necessity is dangerous and can cloud judgment. It places undue pressure on us. Lee Trevino, the famous golfer, once said something like: "Pressure is standing over a $50 putt with only $5 in your pocket."

    As we begin trading, we must understand it is a business; successful traders rarely are gamblers. They do everything they can to put the odds in their favor. In addition to using only risk money, they carefully manage the money they are trading. One way to manage money for the beginning trader with a small account is to make equal dollar trades. If the trader is starting with $5,000 for example, each trade might be $500 or $250. What we don't want to do is make one trade $2,500 and the next $250. How could we possibly know which one is going to be successful? Generally, Murphy's Law goes into operation and we have a big loss on the $2,500 trade and a small gain on the $250 trade. Trading in that fashion soon takes the trader out of the game. Our first objective is to stay in the game. Making equal dollar trades helps us do that. Even if we lost all the money risked on one trade it would not be the end of the world. Of course, if we have a good exit plan, it would be unlikely that we could lose everything invested on the trade. On the other hand, if we placed a large portion of our money at risk on a single trade, it could end our career.

    I once had a student who began trading real money and was doing quite well. He was making equal dollar trades and had six or seven winners in a row. He was calling me every day and telling me how well he was doing. "Bill," he would say, "I made $700 today." Or, "I just made $550" and so on. One day, the phone didn't ring. I did not hear from him for several days so I finally called and asked how he was doing. He told me he no longer was trading. When I asked why, he responded that after all the successes in a row he thought he had figured out what the stock he was playing was doing. He put ALL his money on a bullish play and the next morning the company issued some bad news, an analyst downgraded it and the stock gapped down several dollars. He had bought out of the money calls and was literally wiped out. He has never traded again.

    That sad story is all about money management and greed. If we manage our money properly, we remove a large part of the risk and prevent our greed from enticing us to do what the fellow in my example did. As we begin to trade real money, we are still building our confidence. Our paper trading may have been very successful, but it just isn't the same. Now, something important is on the line. Take it easy. Build confidence with equal dollar trades. If you lose part of your money on a small trade, so what? You will have losing trades so keep the losses small.

    I believe an even better way to manage trading money is to use equal percentage trades rather than equal dollar trades. That is difficult to do with a small account, but can definitely be utilized as your account grows. I personally favor making trades where only 3% to 5% of risk money is placed at risk in any given trade. When losses are incurred and the account value drops, the next trade automatically is made for a lesser amount and when gains are made, greater amounts automatically are invested.

    This seemingly simple device of managing money can build confidence, protect assets, and enable the trader to stay in the game. When tempted to "put it all on black" please remember my friend's story.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft

    Mr. Kraft's past articles are posted on our website for your review.


    * * * SCOTTRADE * * *

  • SUCCESS TRADING GROUP -- by the Success Trading Group Team

    Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with email and/or pager alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.

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    Details Here.


  • OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on minimizing our losses. We always know our downside potential in a trade.

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    Details Here.


  • TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.

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    Details Here.


  • $10 TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.

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    Details Here.


  • DIVIDEND INVESTOR -- by the Dividend Investor Team

    Perfect for your IRA! Our Dividend Investor service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. Many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. We buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income; and we will also buy these with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.

    Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Table and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive all the new investing alerts we send during your trial period. Again, many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. Don't miss out on this service!

    While we titled this service an "investor" service, we also believe these stocks are solid for the "trader" in you. With these stocks, we believe an exit point of 3% above the buy price is generally appropriate for traders. And, in fact, our first 22 positions have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
    Details Here.



  • COVERED CALL SERVICE -- by the Covered Call Team

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    Details Here.



    * * * SCOTTRADE * * *

  • Success Trading Group Trade the same stocks over and over. 300 trades with only 8 losses on our Main Trade Table!

    Trend Trader "The Trend Is Your Friend". Utilize trends and momentum in your stock trading!

    Option Trader Use the power and leverage inherent in option trading to your advantage!

    $10 Trader Focusing on stocks under $10 per share!

    Dividend Investor Perfect for your IRA! Quality dividend paying stocks!

    Covered Calls Conservative option writing -- Allowed in your IRA!

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    The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Online Investment Services, LP. or the associated editor. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Stock investing is risky. Option trading is risky. Futures trading entails great risk where one can lose more than his account balance. We are not licensed or registered in the securities or futures industries. The information presented herein and on the related web sites is presented "as is" without warranty of any kind either express or implied. Although the information has been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolios of writers for this issue may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. No one associated herewith receives compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter or on the related websites. By accepting emails, including various paid subscriptions and free email reports and newsletters, you agree to the terms of the MarketFN.com's website Disclaimer, Privacy Policy and Terms of Use provisions as such may be amended from time to time.

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