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Weekend Newsletter for July 28, 2007                Please forward to a friend! (Subscribe)

The Week At A Glance According To The Charts
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Have a Plan

      

  • Have a Plan -- by Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2007, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    I recently received an e-mail from a subscriber who set out his plan for money management. In general, he made each trade 10% of his capital and found that about 60% of his capital was in trades at any given time. I applaud the subscriber. Not particularly because of the brilliance of his plan, but because he took the time, made the effort, and understood the need to have a money management plan. Could he have chosen a different money management plan? Of course, he could and, at least as far as I know, there is no perfect money management plan. Some advocate making each trade 3% or 5% of risk money (that's my personal plan), others advocate equal dollar trades, and yet others may say limit losses to 7% or 8% of your trade.

    Any of these methods can work. One of the keys is to stay in the game, and money management helps us do just that. If we have no plan to manage our money, we may throw a small amount into one trade and a large amount into another. Suppose Trade A was allotted $1,000 and Trade B allotted $10,000. Trade A turned out to make a 20% gain and Trade B resulted in a 10% loss. We would have made $200 on Trade A but lost $1,000 on Trade B. See the diffference if we had made equal dollar trades, i.e. each trade $5,000. In that instance, we would have made $1,000 on Trade A and lost $500 on Trade B.

    Unfortunately, we may think we know which trade is going to be the blockbuster, but the fact is, no matter what we may think, we never can know which trade is going to be the good one and which trade is going to go south until the trade is over. We can help deal with that issue by using a money management plan.

    Money management is not the only area in which we need a plan when trading. As the saying goes: "Plan your trade and trade your plan." In my estimation, we should formulate our own personal trading plan before we ever enter a trade. It should include things like money management, what strategy we will employ, when we will enter, when we will exit, etc.

    The very existence of a plan, no matter what the plan is, is a significant aid in removing emotion from our trading. Though it has often been said (and certainly seems true) that fear and greed move the markets, we are better able to profit if we can remove those emotions from our own trading and learn to benefit from those emotions in others.

    Plans are helpful in removing those emotions and they give us a framework in which to operate. However, we must be careful to remember that none is infallible. I understand and accept that my plan will not work every time in all situations. I know I will have losing trades, but I am confident that I will profit overall as long as I follow my personal plan. If I perceive weaknesses in the plan, or find improvements, I can always alter the plan.

    If I had no plan, how would I proceed? How do you proceed? It seems that without a plan, we can only act "as the spirit moves us," and that translates to me as following my emotions. I suspect that nothing can be more dangerous to a trader.

    Good Trading!
    Bill Kraft

    Mr. Kraft's past articles are posted on our website for your review.



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    Details Here.


  • OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

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  • TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.


    Try our Trend Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
    Details Here.


  • $10 TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.



    Try our $10 Trader Real-Time Alert Service!
    Details Here.


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    Perfect for your IRA! Our Dividend Investor service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. Many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. We buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income; and we will also buy these with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.

    Chart by StockCharts.com
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    Details Here.



  • COVERED CALL SERVICE -- by the Covered Call Team

    Chart by StockCharts.com
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    Details Here.



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