First, thank you all for subscribing to the Newsletter. I hope
each of you and your families have a wonderful 2008.
Now that 2007 has passed into history, it is time for me to
review my performance in my subscription service trades. Trend Trader
had a very good year. I closed 35 trades during the year and 94% were
winners (33 out of 35). In fact, I have closed 26 straight winners
that have an average gain of $1.19 a share. Including the 2 losers,
the average gain per share for closed trades worked out to 95 cents a
share. I was in 2 trades for over 4 months, but held the remaining 33
trades for an average of 12 days each. Factoring in the longer trades,
the average time in trade increased to only 20 days. I still had a
couple open positions in Trend Trader at year end. One is down
substantially after a gap down, but I am writing covered calls on it
to reduce the loss and bring in monthly income. I could have used it
for a tax loss in '07, but I know I have a large long term capital
gain in 2008 and will use the position to take a loss against that
gain if the stock does not turn profitable. The other position I
entered some time ago to produce regular income and it has performed
quite well in that regard, returning almost 10% per year on my
original investment. I began Trend Trader in March of 2006 and it has
had 84% winners since inception.
Option Trader is my oldest service. It began in 2004 and has had
70% winners since then. In 2007, Option Trader enjoyed 68% winners in
the 34 trades I closed. The average trade excluding only one longer
trade (106 days) was 15 days. The size of investment in my Option
Trader trades is generally less than in the Trend Trader trades where
I am actually buying stock. Risk is ordinarily limited in the option
trades as well through strategies such as spreads or condors though I
do also make straight directional trades too. At the end of 2007, I
had 5 open plays, one of which looks like it could provide substantial
profit at January expiration and the others are spreads. Two of the
spreads expire in January and look like they should wind up with
relatively small gains or losses. The other two have quite a lot of
time to expiration and permit me to adjust as conditions suggest. The
winning trades averaged a gain of 86 cents a share and I did enjoy an
overall gain in my Option Trader trades again this year.
In 2007, I closed 28 trades in the $10 Trader. I did suffer a
dip from last year in terms of winning percentage when I achieved 64%
winners this year. Overall, the winning percentage on these cheaper
stocks since I began the $10 service in April of '06 is 75%. The
average cost per share in 2007 was $6.20. I was in the average trade
for 2 weeks and, including losses, averaged a gain of about 1% on each
2 week trade. I must confess, I did have a more difficult time with
these cheaper stocks as a result of market conditions including high
volatility in 2007.
When I look back, I certainly can't complain when my worst
performing service had 64% winners and my best hit 94% winners.
I truly enjoy writing the Newsletter articles and appreciate the
bloggers and emails. I try to answer each communication personally
and will continue to do so as long as time permits and the writers
recognize I cannot and do not give personal investment advice. I do
have one favor to ask of those very few who complain about the
articles or portions thereof in the blog and emails. Though I don't
mind the complaints, I would ask that those few complainers refrain
from talking about how much they pay for the Newsletter since they get
it for FREE!
Good Trading!
Bill Kraft
Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader
You can comment on this article!
Mr. Kraft's past articles are posted on our website for your review.
$10 TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.
Details Here.
OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on minimizing our losses. We always know our downside potential in a trade.
Details Here.
SUCCESS TRADING GROUP -- by Eric Aafedt
52 Wins in 52 Weeks
Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with email and/or pager alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.
Our Success Trading Group has closed 52 Wins in 52 Weeks and over 330 winning trades and only 9 losing trades on our Main Trade Table.
Details Here.
TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft
Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.
Details Here.
DIVIDEND INVESTOR -- by Eric Aafedt
Perfect for your IRA! Our Dividend Investor service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. Many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. We buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income; and we will also buy these with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.
Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Table and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive all the new investing alerts we send during your trial period. Again, many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. Don't miss out on this service!
While we titled this service an "investor" service, we also believe these stocks are solid for the "trader" in you. With these stocks, we believe an exit point of 3% above the buy price is generally appropriate for traders. And, in fact, our first 46 positions have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
Details Here.
COVERED CALL SERVICE -- by Eric Aafedt and the Covered Call Team
Details Here.
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Success Trading Group Trade the same stocks over and over. 330 trades with only 9 losses on our Main Trade Table!
Trend Trader "The Trend Is Your Friend". Utilize trends and momentum in your stock trading!
Option Trader Use the power and leverage inherent in option trading to your advantage!
$10 Trader Focusing on stocks under $10 per share!
Dividend Investor Perfect for your IRA! Quality dividend paying stocks!
Covered Calls Conservative option writing -- Allowed in your IRA!
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The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Online Investment Services, LP. or the associated editor. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Stock investing is risky. Option trading is risky. Futures trading entails great risk where one can lose more than his account balance. We are not licensed or registered in the securities or futures industries. The information presented herein and on the related web sites is presented "as is" without warranty of any kind either express or implied. Although the information has been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolios of writers for this issue may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. No one associated herewith receives compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter or on the related websites. By accepting emails, including various paid subscriptions and free email reports and newsletters, you agree to the terms of the MarketFN.com's website Disclaimer, Privacy Policy and Terms of Use provisions as such may be amended from time to time.
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