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Weekend Newsletter for May 3, 2008          Please forward to a friend! (Subscribe)

The Week At A Glance According To The Charts
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More Market
Sayings

      

  • More Market Sayings -- by Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2008, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    Last weekend I wrote about some market cliches so we could think about their efficacy. While these sayings have become conventional wisdom, the real question for us as traders and investors is are they complete and do they work; do they produce the intended result? This week, I would like to examine a couple more with the same objective in mind. One of my favorites is: "You can't go broke makin' a profit." I always say that to myself after I have gotten out of a position only to see it take off after I exited.

    "You can't go broke makin' a profit" is only true if our profits are greater than our losses. The problem with the concept is that it doesn't recognize the importance of letting profits run. No doubt it is better to take profit than suffer a loss, but the real key is when to take the profit. Should we pull the plug and exit a play as soon as it turns profitable? Once there is a profit, what should we do to avoid letting it turn into a loss? How long or far should we let the profit run before we close out? Again, as we examine the statement, it can result in the formation of an exit strategy. It seems to me that we can follow the direction of the cliche by recognizing the importance of keeping a profit so we might want to trail a stop once our position is in the profit column or we may set an exit based on the crossing of a moving average or maybe follow Japanese candlesticks, but whatever we choose, we need to have a strategy first to preserve the profit and second to let it run or at least try to avoid exiting too early.

    Another well-known market saying is: "buy on the rumor, sell on the news." I think this one is pretty valuable with minor modification. Buying on the rumor probably works pretty well as long as we hear the rumor and hear it fairly early in the game. Hearing the rumor shortly before the news comes out may not work so well. The theory behind the saying is that the rumor generates excitement and excitement causes movement in the price of the stock. Generally, once the news comes out, the excitement is over. There is no more anticipation because we now have the information; we know the news. Once that happens, the run-up is often over as well and we may see a downturn. I suspect the better saying is: "buy on the rumor if you believe there is a reasonable time before the news comes out and sell right before the news is announced." That pre-supposes we know when the news is going to be announced. In some cases, we may know when the news will be announced, in others, it can only be a guess. In either event, once again, we should have our exit strategy in place before we buy.

    Is the trend really your friend and do you earn on the turn? If you're not sick of these cliches by now, we may take a look at those two down the road.

    Thank you to the many of you who have bought my book, "Trade Your Way to Wealth." I appreciate your kind comments on the book and genuinely hope it advances your trading knowledge and helps you become an even better trader and investor.

    You can comment on this article on my blog!

    Good Trading!

    Bill Kraft
    Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader

    "Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!

    Mr. Kraft's past articles are posted on our website for your review.


  • $10 TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.

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  • OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on minimizing our losses. We always know our downside potential in a trade.

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  • TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.

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    Details Here.


    Trade Your Way To Wealth by Bill Kraft
    Trading is a path to financial independence, personal freedom, and wealth. But the path is immensely challenging and only a few emerge victorious. Bill Kraft's book Trade Your Way to Wealth, an Amazon.com "best seller", shows you the path.


  • SUCCESS TRADING GROUP -- by Eric Aafedt

    52 Wins in 52 Weeks

    Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with email and/or PDA alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.


    Our Success Trading Group has closed 52 Wins in 52 Weeks and over 330 winning trades and only 9 losing trades on our Main Trade Table.
    Details Here.


  • DIVIDEND INVESTOR -- by Eric Aafedt

    Perfect for your IRA! Our Dividend Investor service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. Many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. We buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income; and we will also buy these with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.

    Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Table and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive all the new investing alerts we send during your trial period. Again, many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. Don't miss out on this service!

    While we titled this service an "investor" service, we also believe these stocks are solid for the "trader" in you. With these stocks, we believe an exit point of 3% above the buy price is generally appropriate for traders. And, in fact, our first 46 positions have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
    Details Here.



  • COVERED CALL SERVICE -- by the Covered Call Research Team

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  • Success Trading Group Trade the same stocks over and over. 330 trades with only 9 losses on our Main Trade Table!

    Trend Trader "The Trend Is Your Friend". Utilize trends and momentum in your stock trading!

    Option Trader Use the power and leverage inherent in option trading to your advantage!

    $10 Trader Focusing on stocks under $10 per share!

    Dividend Investor Perfect for your IRA! Quality dividend paying stocks!

    Covered Calls Conservative option writing -- Allowed in your IRA!



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