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Weekend Newsletter for June 28, 2008          Please forward to a friend! (Subscribe)

The Week At A Glance According To The Charts
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Some
Thought
Provoking Questions

      

  • Some Thought Provoking Questions -- by Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2008, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Bill Kraft
    Editor

    After the article in the last Newsletter, I received some interesting questions on the blog. One full time trader asked a couple of questions I frequently hear from both full time and part time traders. The first question is how much money does a full time trader need to trade? I should add that this question is also an important one for part time traders as well. As with so many issues in trading, there is no general definitive answer. It is a question I often address in the one-on-one coaching sessions in conjunction with money management and expectation issues. Since we are all different, the question can only be answered for the individual.

    For example, if an individual is wealthy and has no need for additional income, his answer is likely to differ substantially from the full time trader who is actually trading for his livelihood and needs regular income to pay the bills. For the full time trader who is earning his livelihood through trading, there are several issues he must confront. One way to look at it is to determine how much money he actually requires for living expenses each month or each year and then make a reasonable and conservative approximation of the return he expects taking into account that some positions will, undoubtedly, be losers. If the trader needs $40,000 a year as a minimum for living expenses and predicts that he can reasonably generate a 10% net return a year, he will need a $400,000 trading account just to fulfill his cost of living requirements. Great care must be taken in evaluating potential return and there is a great danger that a trader may overestimate the returns he will generate. In most cases, a belief that he can achieve a return much greater than the S&P, for example, is probably not realistic. The trader must also be aware that he could break even or lose money trading over the course of any given period of time so some cushion should also be maintained.

    Recently, a friend who is approaching retirement told me he was quitting his job and going to trade for a living. He was earning about $65,000 a year at his job and has no pension. I asked him how much money he had to trade and when he told me around $250,000, I encouraged him to keep the day job. In order to equal the $65K a year, he would have to achieve better than a 25% a year return and while that is possible, it is highly unlikely in my estimation, especially for an inexperienced trader. Thankfully, he took my advice and is trading on the side.

    The part time trader who has another job also needs to consider how much trading money he needs. Under funding can be a big problem because too large a percentage of the trading capital may be needed to enter a given trade. Consideration must also be given to the strategies being utilized since it is likely that someone who just trades stock may need a lot more in the account than someone who is trading options. In my book, "Trade Your Way to Wealth", I emphasize that trading is a business and I devote a great deal of time to the specific and detailed considerations an individual must make in setting up their personal trading business plan. Formulating that plan is as critical to good successful trading as is a foundation to a good house. Remember the childhood story about the pigs who built houses of various materials from straw to brick and what happened to each when the wind came? Spending serious time creating your plan as outlined in "Trade Your Way to Wealth" can assist (though it is no guarantee) in the effort to build a solid trading business. Failure to expend the time and effort to create that plan almost certainly will lead to a "straw house" business that is much less likely to weather the storms of trading.

    The other question the trader asked me to address was diversification and "how many issues are a good mix." I'll try to take a look at that next week.

    Both of these questions are quite commonly addressed in my coaching sessions and I have seen that some traders tend to gloss over them. I suggest each is worthy of your study, consideration, and incorporation in your trading plan if you are serious about trying to improve your trading results.

    You can comment on this article on my blog!

    Good Trading!

    Bill Kraft
    Editor of $10 Trader, Option Trader and Trend Trader

    "Trade Your Way to Wealth" by Bill Kraft is an Amazon.com best seller!

    Mr. Kraft's past articles are posted on our website for your review.


  • $10 TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    We really enjoy trading stocks that are $10 and under. Often they provide the chance to enjoy high percentage gains and, of course, at worst, the risk is limited to what we paid for the stock.

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    Details Here.


  • OPTION TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Our Option Trading Service is for conservative traders that understand leverage principles. We focus on powerful option trading strategies that place volatility and momentum in your favor. And we pride ourselves on minimizing our losses. We always know our downside potential in a trade.

    Chart by StockCharts.com
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    Details Here.


  • TREND TRADER -- by Bill Kraft

    Trend trading as we try to practice it is a form of momentum trading. We prefer to try to capture profit out of the middle of the trend rather than try to catch reversal at bottoms and tops.

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    Details Here.


    Trade Your Way To Wealth by Bill Kraft
    Trading is a path to financial independence, personal freedom, and wealth. But the path is immensely challenging and only a few emerge victorious. Bill Kraft's book Trade Your Way to Wealth, an Amazon.com "best seller", shows you the path.


  • SUCCESS TRADING GROUP -- by Eric Aafedt

    52 Wins in 52 Weeks

    Our Success Trading service delivers quality trading ideas for the elite investor that has the financial wherewithal and market nimbleness to profit on small moves in a stock's price. Become a member and you will be provided with email and/or PDA alerts intended to provide you with the opportunity to make many, many profitable trades.


    Our Success Trading Group has closed 52 Wins in 52 Weeks and over 340 winning trades and only 9 losing trades on our Main Trade Table.
    Details Here.


  • DIVIDEND INVESTOR -- by Eric Aafedt

    Perfect for your IRA! Our Dividend Investor service focuses solely on the "best of the best" dividend paying stocks. Many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. We buy these stocks for their powerful dividend producing income; and we will also buy these with a purpose to make capital gains as the stock increases in value.

    Feel free to sign-up for a free 30-day trial. During such time you can review our Trade Table and see the type of stocks we are buying. You will also receive all the new investing alerts we send during your trial period. Again, many of the stocks that we will be buying in our Dividend Investor service raise their dividends almost every year. Year after year! This is powerful. Don't miss out on this service!

    While we titled this service an "investor" service, we also believe these stocks are solid for the "trader" in you. With these stocks, we believe an exit point of 3% above the buy price is generally appropriate for traders. And, in fact, our first 53 positions have hit our 3% target subsequent to the buy alert!
    Details Here.



  • COVERED CALL SERVICE -- by the Covered Call Research Team

    Chart by StockCharts.com
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    Details Here.



  • Success Trading Group Trade the same stocks over and over. 340 trades with only 9 losses on our Main Trade Table!

    Trend Trader "The Trend Is Your Friend". Utilize trends and momentum in your stock trading!

    Option Trader Use the power and leverage inherent in option trading to your advantage!

    $10 Trader Focusing on stocks under $10 per share!

    Dividend Investor Perfect for your IRA! Quality dividend paying stocks!

    Covered Calls Conservative option writing -- Allowed in your IRA!



    The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Online Investment Services, LP. or the associated editor. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Stock investing is risky. Option trading is risky. Futures trading entails great risk where one can lose more than his account balance. We are not licensed or registered in the securities or futures industries. The information presented herein and on the related web sites is presented "as is" without warranty of any kind either express or implied. Although the information has been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolios of writers for this issue may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. No one associated herewith receives compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter or on the related websites. By accepting emails, including various paid subscriptions and free email reports and newsletters, you agree to the terms of the MarketFN.com's website Disclaimer, Privacy Policy and Terms of Use provisions as such may be amended from time to time.
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